[1]王淑嫱,桂嘉齐. 基于SD的PC构件生产进度风险管理研究[J].湖北工业大学学报,2022,(3):116-120.
　WANG Shuqiang,GUI Jiaqi. Research on Risk Management of PC Component Production Schedule Based on SD[J].,2022,(3):116-120.
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 基于SD的PC构件生产进度风险管理研究()
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《湖北工业大学学报》[ISSN:1003-4684/CN:42-1752/Z]

卷:
期数:
2022年第3期
页码:
116-120
栏目:
湖北工业大学学报
出版日期:
2022-07-06

文章信息/Info

Title:
 Research on Risk Management of PC Component Production Schedule Based on SD
文章编号:
1003-4684(2022)03-0116-05
作者:
 王淑嫱;  桂嘉齐
 湖北工业大学土木建筑与环境学院， 湖北 武汉 430068
Author(s):
 WANG Shuqiang; GUI Jiaqi
 School of Civil Engin., Architecture and Environment, Hubei Univ. of Tech.，Wuhan 430068,China
关键词:
 ; PC构件;  生产进度;  系统动力学;  风险管理
Keywords:
 ; PC component;  production schedule;  system dynamics;  risk management
分类号:
TU741
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
 在文献分析的基础上，通过半结构化访谈方法识别出人员、材料设备、技术和组织管理4个维度的18项影响PC构件生产进度的风险因素，并利用熵权法确定风险指标权重。构建基于系统动力学(SD)的风险评价模型，进一步研究因素之间风险传递关系，通过动态仿真模拟，对比分析不同控制措施对降低风险值的效果，结果表明组织管理风险中生产进度制定不合理、信息化管理水平较低对PC构件生产进度影响最大，针对关键风险因素提出应对措施，为PC构件生产进度风险研究提供借鉴。
Abstract:
 On the basis of literature analysis, the semi-structured interview method was used to identify 18 risk factors affecting the production schedule of PC components from four dimensions of personnel, material and equipment, technology and organization management, and the entropy weight method was used to determine the weight of risk indicators. The risk evaluation model based on system dynamics (SD) was built to further research risk transfer relationship between factors. Through dynamic simulation, the effect of different control measures to reduce risk value were compared and analyzed. The results show that in the organization and management risk production schedule is unreasonably settled, and the low level of information management has the greatest effect in the production progress of PC components. Aimed at the key risk factors, the countermeasures are put forward and reference for PC component production schedule risk study is provided.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
［收稿日期］ 2021-05-30
［第一作者］ 王淑嫱（1981-），女，河北安国人，工学博士，湖北工业大学副教授，研究方向为建设项目信息化管理
［通信作者］ 桂嘉齐（1996-），女，湖北黄石人，湖北工业大学硕士研究生，研究方向为建设项目信息化管理
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-06-21